Thanks to the World Cup, Robinhood's 2026 prediction markets revenue could skyrocket

June 15, 2026 - 18:59

A Wall Street analyst is projecting a massive jump in revenue from Robinhood's prediction markets, with estimates climbing from $150 million in 2025 to nearly $600 million in 2026. The catalyst? The 2026 FIFA World Cup, which is expected to draw heavy betting activity from users on the trading platform.

Robinhood has been expanding beyond traditional stock and crypto trading, and its foray into event-driven contracts appears to be paying off. The prediction markets allow users to wager on outcomes of major events, from sports championships to political races. The World Cup, being one of the most globally watched sporting events, could drive a flood of new users and higher trading volumes.

The analyst's forecast suggests that Robinhood's prediction business could become a significant revenue driver, diversifying the company's income beyond commissions and subscription fees. While the platform has faced regulatory scrutiny in the past, the potential windfall from the 2026 tournament highlights the growing appetite for alternative trading products.

Robinhood has not officially commented on the projections, but the numbers underscore how event-based contracts are becoming a bigger part of the fintech landscape. If the World Cup delivers as expected, Robinhood could see its prediction market revenue more than triple in a single year.